Authors
Jonathan Hasian Haposan, Jarir At Thobari, Emma Watts, Virginia E. Pitzer, Natalie Carvalho,
Hardini Tri Indarti, Alindina Anjani, Asal Wahyuni Erlin Mulyadi, Ida Safitri Laksanawati, Julie E. Bines
Background
Typhoid fever remains a health threat in endemic countries. In Indonesia, it causes an estimated 470,000 cases and 6000 deaths annually. We assessed the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of introducing the typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) into Indonesia’s routine National Immunisation Program (NIP) at 9 months of age, with or without a catch-up campaign up to 15 years of age.
Methods
A validated dynamic model of typhoid transmission was used to project health outcomes over a 30-year analytical horison for each scenario. Cost-of-illness data were drawn from the Surveillance of Typhoid Fever in Indonesia study and published literature. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated from healthcare sector and societal perspectives. Uncertainty was explored using one-way sensitivity analysis (OWSA) and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA). Budget impact analysis supported annual fiscal planning.
Results
Six-year budget impact costs were US$61 million (routine) and US$251 million (routine and catch-up), equivalent to 0.48%–2.95% and 2.97%–9.84% of the annual national immunisation budget, respectively. Compared to no vaccination, routine TCV yielded ICERs at US$240.6 and US$238.8 per DALY averted from the healthcare sector and societal perspectives, respectively, corresponding to 5% of GDP per capita. Compared with routine immunisation alone, adding a catch-up campaign yielded ICERs of US$521.3 and US$519.5 per DALY averted from the healthcare sector and societal perspective, respectively, corresponding to approximately 11% of GDP per capita. OWSA showed that both strategies remained very cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of 1xGDP. PSA estimated probabilities of cost-effectiveness of 99.7% (routine and catch-up vs. routine) and 99.2% (routine vs. no vaccination). The multi-strategy cost-effectiveness acceptability curve identified the combined routine and catch-up campaign as the optimal strategy.
Conclusion
Introducing TCV into Indonesia’s NIP is projected to be very cost-effective. A routine-only program requires a lower budget, but adding a catch-up campaign is an optimal strategy with greater public health impact while remaining very cost-effective.
